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V-Lab

Grayscale Avalanche Staking ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

61.10%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

61.10%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

61.10%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 02:18 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Grayscale Avalanche Staking ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 12, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.7025
0.04
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8176
0.14
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.818

Half-life:

3 days