V-Lab
Grayscale Avalanche Staking ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
51.67%
decreased by 7.58%
1 Week
53.67%
decreased by 5.58%
1 Month
55.03%
decreased by 4.22%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 12, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4.5236 | 4.47*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2348 | 2.46** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4264 | 4.23*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0625 | -0.48 |
Persistence:
0.630
Half-life:
2 days
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