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Grayscale Avalanche Staking ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

50.65%

increased by 4.89%

1 Week

61.44%

increased by 15.68%

1 Month

73.26%

increased by 27.50%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Grayscale Avalanche Staking ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 12, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
1.32
αARCH0.7840
0.65
βGARCH0.3688
1.42
γleverage-0.7110
-0.59

0.797

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.32
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.7840
0.65
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3688
1.42
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.7110
-0.59

Persistence:

0.797

Half-life:

3 days