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V-Lab
V-Lab

Grayscale Avalanche Staking ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

51.90%

increased by 1.38%

1 Week

51.93%

increased by 1.41%

1 Month

51.96%

increased by 1.44%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:34 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Grayscale Avalanche Staking ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 12, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.4384
0.65
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.7440
2.24**
γleverage0.0571
0.20

0.773

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.4384
0.65
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7440
2.24**
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0571
0.20

Persistence:

0.773

Half-life:

3 days