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V-Lab

Grayscale Avalanche Staking ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

51.67%

decreased by 7.58%

1 Week

53.67%

decreased by 5.58%

1 Month

55.03%

decreased by 4.22%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Grayscale Avalanche Staking ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 12, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.5236
4.47***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2348
2.46**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4264
4.23***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0625
-0.48

Persistence:

0.630

Half-life:

2 days