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V-Lab
V-Lab

Grayscale Avalanche Staking ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

23.02%

increased by 3.73%

1 Week

22.49%

increased by 3.20%

1 Month

21.33%

increased by 2.04%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 02:25 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Grayscale Avalanche Staking ETF APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 12, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. The volatility power δ = 3.00 sits above 2, so large shocks influence volatility more than quadratically, dominating the response more than in standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-lifeδ = 3.00 · super-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.2423
0.90
αARCH0.1087
0.68
βGARCH0.6793
3.21***
γleverage0.2380
1.04
δpower3.0000
1.18

0.882

Persistence

6d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2423
0.90
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1087
0.68
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6793
3.21***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2380
1.04
δ

power

Transformation power

3.0000
1.18

Persistence:

0.882

Half-life:

6 days