Skip to main content
V-Lab

State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

9.18%

decreased by 0.44%

1 Week

9.74%

increased by 0.12%

1 Month

11.46%

increased by 1.84%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value ETF APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 5, 2000 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 243% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0291
19.37***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1390
24.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8206
172.57***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2887
20.35***
δ

power

Transformation power

2.0734
36.35***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

29 days