V-Lab
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
9.18%
decreased by 0.44%
1 Week
9.74%
increased by 0.12%
1 Month
11.46%
increased by 1.84%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 5, 2000 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 243% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0291 | 19.37*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1390 | 24.71*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8206 | 172.57*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2887 | 20.35*** |
δ power Transformation power | 2.0734 | 36.35*** |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
29 days
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