Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Invesco DB Energy Fund Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

34.03%

increased by 2.88%

1 Week

32.05%

increased by 0.90%

1 Month

26.37%

decreased by 4.78%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Invesco DB Energy Fund APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 5, 2007 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 18% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.58 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 18% more than positive returnsδ = 0.58 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0250
4.68***
αARCH0.1533
9.49***
βGARCH0.8419
54.20***
γleverage0.1393
3.22***
δpower0.5767
2.55**

0.966

Persistence

20d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0250
4.68***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1533
9.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8419
54.20***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1393
3.22***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.5767
2.55**

Persistence:

0.966

Half-life:

20 days