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V-Lab

Invesco DB Energy Fund EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

39.76%

decreased by 2.29%

1 Week

39.38%

decreased by 2.67%

1 Month

38.08%

decreased by 3.97%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 02:27 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Invesco DB Energy Fund EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 5, 2007 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 52% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0232
13.51***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1682
21.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9820
842.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0349
-5.58***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

38 days