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iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

13.33%

decreased by 0.24%

1 Week

13.58%

increased by 0.01%

1 Month

14.56%

increased by 0.99%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 5, 1996 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 234% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 234% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0128
1.78*
αARCH0.1658
7.04***
βGARCH0.9810
255.61***
γleverage-0.0894
-5.48***

0.981

Persistence

36d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0128
1.78*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1658
7.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9810
255.61***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0894
-5.48***

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

36 days