V-Lab
iShares MSCI France ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
14.04%
decreased by 0.17%
1 Week
14.39%
increased by 0.18%
1 Month
15.70%
increased by 1.49%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 2, 1996 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 195% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0195 | 10.65*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1736 | 31.36*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9789 | 1,003.02*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0857 | -19.97*** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
33 days
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