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V-Lab

iShares MSCI France ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

14.04%

decreased by 0.17%

1 Week

14.39%

increased by 0.18%

1 Month

15.70%

increased by 1.49%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI France ETF EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 2, 1996 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 195% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0195
10.65***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1736
31.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9789
1,003.02***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0857
-19.97***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

33 days