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V-Lab

iShares MSCI France ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

16.01%

decreased by 0.37%

1 Week

16.36%

decreased by 0.02%

1 Month

17.59%

increased by 1.21%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI France ETF GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 2, 1996 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 54 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 54 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0358
21.26***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1035
37.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8837
325.01***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

54 days