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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

15.19%

decreased by 0.30%

1 Week

15.71%

increased by 0.22%

1 Month

17.49%

increased by 2.00%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 3, 1996 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 54 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 54 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0442
21.77***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1033
35.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8839
325.68***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

54 days