V-Lab
iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
17.85%
increased by 0.67%
1 Week
18.07%
increased by 0.89%
1 Month
18.88%
increased by 1.70%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 2, 1996 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 61 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 61 days.
σ
GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 61-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0304 | 4.98*** |
| αARCH | 0.0923 | 9.71*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8964 | 98.58*** |
0.989
Persistence61d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0304 | 4.98*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0923 | 9.71*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8964 | 98.58*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
61 days
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