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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

23.81%

increased by 0.20%

1 Week

24.34%

increased by 0.73%

1 Month

25.29%

increased by 1.68%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 2, 1996 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0011
0.57
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8756
332.31***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1362
37.82***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1082
2.72***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3520
3.32***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5963
4.75***

Persistence:

0.945

Half-life:

12 days