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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

19.99%

decreased by 1.18%

1 Week

20.06%

decreased by 1.11%

1 Month

20.32%

decreased by 0.85%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 5, 1996 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 81% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.83 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0258
25.77***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1256
40.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8655
317.02***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1602
12.93***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.8348
33.92***

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

51 days