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V-Lab

State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

17.64%

decreased by 1.69%

1 Week

16.81%

decreased by 2.52%

1 Month

14.56%

decreased by 4.77%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 22, 1998 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 25% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.01 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0366
25.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2078
59.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7758
204.76***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1092
19.91***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.0079
16.74***

Persistence:

0.942

Half-life:

12 days