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V-Lab

State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

14.66%

decreased by 0.48%

1 Week

14.76%

decreased by 0.38%

1 Month

15.12%

decreased by 0.02%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 22, 1998 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 197% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0210
22.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0353
12.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9126
405.41***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0693
12.00***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

39 days