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iShares China Large-Cap ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

21.35%

decreased by 0.68%

1 Week

21.65%

decreased by 0.38%

1 Month

22.72%

increased by 0.69%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares China Large-Cap ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 8, 2004 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 52 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 52 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 52-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0502
4.03***
αARCH0.0481
2.90***
βGARCH0.9097
69.87***
γleverage0.0579
1.73*

0.987

Persistence

52d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0502
4.03***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0481
2.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9097
69.87***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0579
1.73*

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

52 days