V-Lab
iShares China Large-Cap ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
18.78%
decreased by 0.46%
1 Week
19.20%
decreased by 0.04%
1 Month
20.66%
increased by 1.42%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 8, 2004 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 122% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0508 | 16.14*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0480 | 11.59*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9093 | 278.07*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0586 | 6.99*** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
51 days
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