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V-Lab
V-Lab

iShares China Large-Cap ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

20.34%

decreased by 0.61%

1 Week

20.69%

decreased by 0.26%

1 Month

21.91%

increased by 0.96%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares China Large-Cap ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 8, 2004 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 51 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 51 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 51-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0506
4.03***
αARCH0.0481
2.90***
βGARCH0.9094
69.62***
γleverage0.0583
1.74*

0.987

Persistence

51d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0506
4.03***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0481
2.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9094
69.62***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0583
1.74*

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

51 days