Skip to main content
V-Lab

iShares China Large-Cap ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

18.78%

decreased by 0.46%

1 Week

19.20%

decreased by 0.04%

1 Month

20.66%

increased by 1.42%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares China Large-Cap ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 8, 2004 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 122% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0508
16.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0480
11.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9093
278.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0586
6.99***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

51 days