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V-Lab

iShares China Large-Cap ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

22.29%

increased by 0.12%

1 Week

22.56%

increased by 0.39%

1 Month

23.53%

increased by 1.36%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares China Large-Cap ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 8, 2004 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 121% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0509
16.17***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0483
11.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9091
277.32***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0584
6.94***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

51 days