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V-Lab
V-Lab

iShares China Large-Cap ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

21.20%

decreased by 0.76%

1 Week

21.17%

decreased by 0.79%

1 Month

21.90%

decreased by 0.06%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:31 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares China Large-Cap ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 8, 2004 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 223% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 223% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow61
αARCH0.0358
2.07**
βGARCH0.8562
40.59***
γleverage0.0799
3.38***
λ₁tau intercept0.5342
4.02***
λ₂forecast adj.0.8434
9.74***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.932

Persistence

10d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0358
2.07**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8562
40.59***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0799
3.38***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.5342
4.02***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8434
9.74***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.932

Half-life:

10 days