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V-Lab

iShares China Large-Cap ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

20.94%

increased by 0.71%

1 Week

21.70%

increased by 1.47%

1 Month

22.92%

increased by 2.69%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 10:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares China Large-Cap ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 8, 2004 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 222% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0361
6.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8553
146.26***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0802
12.68***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.5049
0.39
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7808
0.39
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0724
0.03

Persistence:

0.932

Half-life:

10 days