V-Lab
Strive 500 ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
10.88%
decreased by 0.13%
1 Week
11.44%
increased by 0.43%
1 Month
12.82%
increased by 1.81%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 16, 2022 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 106 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8476 | 63.11*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1800 | 18.39*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.8905 | 0.60 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.938
Half-life:
11 days
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