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V-Lab

Strive 500 ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

11.19%

decreased by 0.28%

1 Week

11.66%

increased by 0.19%

1 Month

12.86%

increased by 1.39%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 11:14 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Strive 500 ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 16, 2022 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow76
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8501
16.83***
γleverage0.1781
4.59***
λ₁tau intercept0.8710
0.41
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.939

Persistence

11d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8501
16.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1781
4.59***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.8710
0.41
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.939

Half-life:

11 days