V-Lab
Strive 500 ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
11.19%
decreased by 0.28%
1 Week
11.66%
increased by 0.19%
1 Month
12.86%
increased by 1.39%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 11:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 16, 2022 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 76 | |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.8501 | 16.83*** |
| γleverage | 0.1781 | 4.59*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.8710 | 0.41 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
0.939
Persistence11d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 76 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8501 | 16.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1781 | 4.59*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.8710 | 0.41 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.939
Half-life:
11 days
Other Strive 500 ETF Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on ETFs