V-Lab
Strive 500 ETF MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
10.38%
decreased by 0.54%
1 Week
11.29%
increased by 0.37%
1 Month
12.99%
increased by 2.07%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 10:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 16, 2022 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
μ
MEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0894 | 1.26 |
| αARCH | 0.2757 | 3.07*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6168 | 12.55*** |
0.892
Persistence6d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0894 | 1.26 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2757 | 3.07*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6168 | 12.55*** |
Persistence:
0.892
Half-life:
6 days
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