Strive 500 ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
13.38%
decreased by 0.45%
1 Week
13.60%
decreased by 0.23%
1 Month
14.28%
increased by 0.45%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 16, 2022 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0414 | 6.99*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8745 | 96.46*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1700 | 6.85*** |
Persistence:
0.959
Half-life:
17 days
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