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V-Lab

iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

14.72%

decreased by 0.55%

1 Week

14.97%

decreased by 0.30%

1 Month

15.85%

increased by 0.58%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 5, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 306% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0247
21.10***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0349
9.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9001
402.37***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1069
18.92***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

59 days