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iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

107.51%

decreased by 4.25%

1 Week

105.41%

decreased by 6.35%

1 Month

97.79%

decreased by 13.97%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 10:21 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 14, 2000 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 367% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 367% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1036
3.07***
αARCH0.0223
2.43**
βGARCH0.9149
70.67***
γleverage0.0817
3.09***

0.978

Persistence

31d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1036
3.07***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0223
2.43**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9149
70.67***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0817
3.09***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days