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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

26.86%

decreased by 0.69%

1 Week

27.18%

decreased by 0.37%

1 Month

28.30%

increased by 0.75%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 14, 2000 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 362% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0935
11.90***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0221
9.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9178
296.54***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0799
12.60***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days