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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

23.80%

decreased by 0.50%

1 Week

24.29%

decreased by 0.01%

1 Month

25.96%

increased by 1.66%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 14, 2000 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 358% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0934
11.83***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0224
9.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9173
294.11***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0804
12.58***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days