Franklin Ohio Municipal Income ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026
1 Day
5.69%
decreased by 0.21%
1 Week
5.66%
decreased by 0.24%
1 Month
5.52%
decreased by 0.38%
Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 10, 2025 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 33 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 33 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 33-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0018 | 0.55 |
| αARCH | 0.0159 | 0.36 |
| βGARCH | 0.9192 | 14.56*** |
| γleverage | 0.0881 | 0.98 |
0.979
Persistence33d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0018 | 0.55 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0159 | 0.36 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9192 | 14.56*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0881 | 0.98 |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
33 days
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