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V-Lab

Franklin Ohio Municipal Income ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

3.81%

increased by 0.61%

1 Week

3.65%

increased by 0.45%

1 Month

3.56%

increased by 0.36%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 02:29 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Franklin Ohio Municipal Income ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 10, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0225
8.24***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4127
6.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2672
4.07***

Persistence:

0.546

Half-life:

1 days