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abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

25.09%

increased by 0.44%

1 Week

24.91%

increased by 0.26%

1 Month

24.23%

decreased by 0.42%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:47 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 14, 2009 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 48 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 48 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 48-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0177
3.07***
αARCH0.0777
3.00***
βGARCH0.9225
51.54***
γleverage-0.0292
-0.71

0.986

Persistence

48d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0177
3.07***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0777
3.00***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9225
51.54***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0292
-0.71

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

48 days