Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

25.53%

decreased by 0.16%

1 Week

25.32%

decreased by 0.37%

1 Month

24.54%

decreased by 1.15%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 14, 2009 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 44 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 44 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 44-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0188
3.12***
αARCH0.0799
2.99***
βGARCH0.9198
49.91***
γleverage-0.0307
-0.73

0.984

Persistence

44d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0188
3.12***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0799
2.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9198
49.91***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0307
-0.73

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

44 days