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V-Lab
V-Lab

YieldMax TSLA Performance & Distribution Target 25 ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

40.02%

increased by 2.64%

1 Week

38.30%

increased by 0.92%

1 Month

37.91%

increased by 0.53%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 02:16 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of YieldMax TSLA Performance & Distribution Target 25 ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 18, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026
Boundary Parameters
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
1.13
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.0975
0.14
γleverage0.0397
0.36

0.117

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.13
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0975
0.14
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0397
0.36

Persistence:

0.117

Half-life:

0 days