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YieldMax TSLA Performance & Distribution Target 25 ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026

1 Day

38.36%

increased by 2.09%

1 Week

37.07%

increased by 0.80%

1 Month

36.80%

increased by 0.53%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 02:18 AM UTC

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Date Range:

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graph of YieldMax TSLA Performance & Distribution Target 25 ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 18, 2025 to Sep 25, 2026
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
1.82*
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.0290
0.07
γleverage0.0725
0.38

0.065

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.82*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0290
0.07
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0725
0.38

Persistence:

0.065

Half-life:

0 days