V-Lab
YieldMax TSLA Performance & Distribution Target 25 ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026
1 Day
37.17%
decreased by 0.06%
1 Week
37.41%
increased by 0.18%
1 Month
37.47%
increased by 0.24%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:26 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 18, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 1.24 |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.0809 | 0.12 |
| γleverage | 0.0446 | 0.37 |
0.103
Persistence0d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.24 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0809 | 0.12 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0446 | 0.37 |
Persistence:
0.103
Half-life:
0 days
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