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V-Lab
V-Lab

iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

16.83%

increased by 0.81%

1 Week

17.11%

increased by 1.09%

1 Month

18.09%

increased by 2.07%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 1996 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 228% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 228% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0306
4.80***
αARCH0.0373
3.15***
βGARCH0.9095
95.98***
γleverage0.0851
3.97***

0.989

Persistence

65d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0306
4.80***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0373
3.15***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9095
95.98***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0851
3.97***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

65 days