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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

15.59%

decreased by 0.24%

1 Week

15.91%

increased by 0.08%

1 Month

17.06%

increased by 1.23%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:15 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 1996 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 227% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0306
19.17***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0375
12.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9093
383.03***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0851
15.85***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

65 days