V-Lab
iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
1 Day
16.83%
increased by 0.81%
1 Week
17.11%
increased by 1.09%
1 Month
18.09%
increased by 2.07%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 1, 1996 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 228% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 228% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0306 | 4.80*** |
| αARCH | 0.0373 | 3.15*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9095 | 95.98*** |
| γleverage | 0.0851 | 3.97*** |
0.989
Persistence65d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0306 | 4.80*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0373 | 3.15*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9095 | 95.98*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0851 | 3.97*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
65 days
Other iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs