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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

14.81%

decreased by 0.09%

1 Week

15.16%

increased by 0.26%

1 Month

16.40%

increased by 1.50%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 229% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0304
19.10***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0367
12.40***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9105
384.67***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0842
15.88***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

64 days