V-Lab
iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
14.81%
decreased by 0.09%
1 Week
15.16%
increased by 0.26%
1 Month
16.40%
increased by 1.50%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 1, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 229% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0304 | 19.10*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0367 | 12.40*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9105 | 384.67*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0842 | 15.88*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
64 days
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