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iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

18.36%

decreased by 0.54%

1 Week

18.48%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Month

18.80%

decreased by 0.10%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 1996 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 321% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 321% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow46
αARCH0.0364
2.05**
βGARCH0.8306
45.84***
γleverage0.1170
5.91***
λ₁tau intercept0.0104
1.83*
λ₂forecast adj.0.0436
2.69***
λ₃tau persistence0.9520
54.33***

0.926

Persistence

9d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0364
2.05**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8306
45.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1170
5.91***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0104
1.83*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0436
2.69***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9520
54.33***

Persistence:

0.926

Half-life:

9 days