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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

14.76%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

15.44%

increased by 0.68%

1 Month

17.04%

increased by 2.28%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 322% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0366
7.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8286
124.96***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1177
21.61***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0110
5.55***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0458
5.72***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9496
110.23***

Persistence:

0.924

Half-life:

9 days