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BondBloxx CCC-Rated USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

7.23%

decreased by 0.37%

1 Week

7.16%

decreased by 0.44%

1 Month

7.21%

decreased by 0.39%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:52 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of BondBloxx CCC-Rated USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 26, 2022 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow36
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8408
21.16***
γleverage0.1822
3.84***
λ₁tau intercept0.0570
1.75*
λ₂forecast adj.0.6905
3.05***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.932

Persistence

10d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8408
21.16***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1822
3.84***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0570
1.75*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6905
3.05***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.932

Half-life:

10 days