V-Lab
BondBloxx CCC-Rated USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
5.89%
decreased by 0.54%
1 Week
5.90%
decreased by 0.53%
1 Month
5.98%
decreased by 0.45%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 26, 2022 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8276 | 82.07*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2028 | 17.25*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0581 | 0.76 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6995 | 0.67 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.929
Half-life:
9 days
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