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BondBloxx CCC-Rated USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

9.15%

decreased by 0.35%

1 Week

8.87%

decreased by 0.63%

1 Month

8.22%

decreased by 1.28%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:58 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of BondBloxx CCC-Rated USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 26, 2022 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow36
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8366
20.20***
γleverage0.1837
3.76***
λ₁tau intercept0.0560
1.77*
λ₂forecast adj.0.6896
3.15***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.928

Persistence

9d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8366
20.20***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1837
3.76***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0560
1.77*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6896
3.15***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.928

Half-life:

9 days