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V-Lab

BondBloxx CCC-Rated USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

4.71%

decreased by 0.14%

1 Week

4.79%

decreased by 0.06%

1 Month

5.15%

increased by 0.30%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of BondBloxx CCC-Rated USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 26, 2022 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow36
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8325
19.74***
γleverage0.1903
3.69***
λ₁tau intercept0.0512
1.74*
λ₂forecast adj.0.7168
3.78***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.928

Persistence

9d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8325
19.74***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1903
3.69***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0512
1.74*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7168
3.78***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.928

Half-life:

9 days