V-Lab
BondBloxx CCC-Rated USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
4.57%
decreased by 0.14%
1 Week
4.81%
increased by 0.10%
1 Month
5.47%
increased by 0.76%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 26, 2022 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8303 | 82.34*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1952 | 17.08*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0565 | 0.73 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6982 | 0.64 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.928
Half-life:
9 days
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