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V-Lab

Defiance Space and Connective Tech ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

38.46%

decreased by 2.16%

1 Week

37.97%

decreased by 2.65%

1 Month

36.25%

decreased by 4.37%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Defiance Space and Connective Tech ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 5, 2019 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 163% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0705
11.12***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0492
6.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8858
152.20***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0800
6.30***

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days