V-Lab
Defiance Space and Connective Tech ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
32.50%
decreased by 1.73%
1 Week
32.25%
decreased by 1.98%
1 Month
31.37%
decreased by 2.86%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 5, 2019 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 172% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0704 | 11.17*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0479 | 6.82*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8862 | 153.72*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0824 | 6.60*** |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
28 days
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