Skip to main content
V-Lab

Defiance Space and Connective Tech ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

32.50%

decreased by 1.73%

1 Week

32.25%

decreased by 1.98%

1 Month

31.37%

decreased by 2.86%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Defiance Space and Connective Tech ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 5, 2019 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 172% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0704
11.17***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0479
6.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8862
153.72***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0824
6.60***

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

28 days