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Defiance Space and Connective Tech ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

38.18%

decreased by 1.93%

1 Week

37.73%

decreased by 2.38%

1 Month

36.15%

decreased by 3.96%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:15 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Defiance Space and Connective Tech ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 5, 2019 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 29 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 29 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 29-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0678
2.83***
αARCH0.0473
1.73*
βGARCH0.8894
40.82***
γleverage0.0793
1.63

0.976

Persistence

29d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0678
2.83***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0473
1.73*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8894
40.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0793
1.63

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

29 days