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V-Lab

Defiance Space and Connective Tech ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

39.69%

decreased by 2.24%

1 Week

39.14%

decreased by 2.79%

1 Month

37.24%

decreased by 4.69%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Defiance Space and Connective Tech ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 5, 2019 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 162% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0715
11.12***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0497
6.85***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8847
149.71***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0804
6.28***

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days