Defiance Space and Connective Tech ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
39.69%
decreased by 2.24%
1 Week
39.14%
decreased by 2.79%
1 Month
37.24%
decreased by 4.69%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 5, 2019 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 162% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0715 | 11.12*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0497 | 6.85*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8847 | 149.71*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0804 | 6.28*** |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
27 days
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