Defiance Space and Connective Tech ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
39.90%
decreased by 3.25%
1 Week
38.92%
decreased by 4.23%
1 Month
35.99%
decreased by 7.16%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 5, 2019 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 124% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0332 | 9.57*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1772 | 20.95*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9680 | 379.14*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0678 | -7.85*** |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
21 days
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