Invesco QQQ LOW Vltility ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026
1 Day
11.63%
increased by 0.07%
1 Week
11.75%
increased by 0.19%
1 Month
12.10%
increased by 0.54%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 09:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 4, 2024 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 12-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | -0.0237 | -0.46 |
| αARCH | 0.1329 | 1.64 |
| βGARCH | 0.9442 | 20.75*** |
| γleverage | -0.0619 | -0.71 |
0.944
Persistence12d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.0237 | -0.46 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1329 | 1.64 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9442 | 20.75*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0619 | -0.71 |
Persistence:
0.944
Half-life:
12 days
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