V-Lab
Invesco QQQ LOW Vltility ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
13.43%
decreased by 0.27%
1 Week
13.56%
decreased by 0.14%
1 Month
14.21%
increased by 0.51%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 4, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 96 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9276 | 101.90*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0678 | 10.25*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0500 | 0.12 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4826 | 0.12 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5174 | 0.12 |
Persistence:
0.961
Half-life:
18 days
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