V-Lab
Invesco QQQ LOW Vltility ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
12.89%
decreased by 0.19%
1 Week
13.13%
increased by 0.05%
1 Month
13.82%
increased by 0.74%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 4, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 121 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9020 | 217.78*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0945 | 12.01*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0564 | 1.38 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4457 | 3.20*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5543 | 2.43** |
Persistence:
0.949
Half-life:
13 days
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