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V-Lab

Invesco QQQ LOW Vltility ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

12.89%

decreased by 0.19%

1 Week

13.13%

increased by 0.05%

1 Month

13.82%

increased by 0.74%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Invesco QQQ LOW Vltility ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 4, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

121
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9020
217.78***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0945
12.01***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0564
1.38
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.4457
3.20***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5543
2.43**

Persistence:

0.949

Half-life:

13 days