V-Lab
Invesco QQQ LOW Vltility ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
13.40%
decreased by 0.17%
1 Week
13.48%
decreased by 0.09%
1 Month
14.07%
increased by 0.50%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:23 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 4, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 96 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9259 | 111.01*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0678 | 11.33*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0514 | 0.08 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5463 | 0.08 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4537 | 0.06 |
Persistence:
0.960
Half-life:
17 days
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