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Invesco QQQ LOW Vltility ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

14.60%

increased by 0.43%

1 Week

14.65%

increased by 0.48%

1 Month

14.60%

increased by 0.43%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Invesco QQQ LOW Vltility ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 4, 2024 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow96
αARCH0.0232
2.34**
βGARCH0.9100
29.23***
γleverage0.0163
0.99
λ₁tau intercept0.0576
2.54**
λ₂forecast adj.0.8965
6.93***
λ₃tau persistence0.1035
2.67***

0.941

Persistence

11d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

96
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0232
2.34**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9100
29.23***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0163
0.99
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0576
2.54**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8965
6.93***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.1035
2.67***

Persistence:

0.941

Half-life:

11 days