V-Lab
Invesco QQQ LOW Vltility ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
10.80%
decreased by 1.48%
1 Week
11.03%
decreased by 1.25%
1 Month
11.29%
decreased by 0.99%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 4, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible. The volatility power δ = 3.00 sits above 2, so large shocks influence volatility more than quadratically, dominating the response more than in standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0858 | 3.48*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1356 | 3.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4824 | 8.78*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3288 | 6.42*** |
δ power Transformation power | 3.0000 | 4.18*** |
Persistence:
0.769
Half-life:
3 days
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