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Invesco QQQ LOW Vltility ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

12.74%

decreased by 0.45%

1 Week

12.70%

decreased by 0.49%

1 Month

12.61%

decreased by 0.58%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:23 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Invesco QQQ LOW Vltility ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 4, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.37 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6104
2.35**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0464
4.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9511
47.04***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.3683
0.41

Persistence:

0.951

Half-life:

14 days