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Invesco QQQ LOW Vltility ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

13.54%

decreased by 0.22%

1 Week

13.45%

decreased by 0.31%

1 Month

13.18%

decreased by 0.58%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Invesco QQQ LOW Vltility ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 4, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.24 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6181
2.30**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0469
4.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9536
50.23***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.2450
0.45

Persistence:

0.954

Half-life:

15 days