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Invesco QQQ LOW Vltility ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

14.59%

increased by 0.91%

1 Week

14.43%

increased by 0.75%

1 Month

13.92%

increased by 0.24%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 02:22 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Invesco QQQ LOW Vltility ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 4, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.15 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6192
2.25**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0457
4.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9558
52.95***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.1451
0.47

Persistence:

0.956

Half-life:

15 days