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V-Lab

First Eagle US Equity ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

12.35%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

12.35%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

12.35%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of First Eagle US Equity ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6055
0.68
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0020
0.00
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

200.0000
0.03

Persistence:

0.002

Half-life:

0 days