Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

First Eagle US Equity ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

12.22%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

12.22%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

12.22%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:50 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

All

graph of First Eagle US Equity ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 15.94 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-lifev = 15.94 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run0.5923
0.76
αscore0.0000
0.00
βpersistence0.8581
0.08
νDF15.9379
0.03

0.858

Persistence

5d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

0.5923
0.76
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0000
0.00
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.8581
0.08
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

15.9379
0.03

Persistence:

0.858

Half-life:

5 days