First Eagle US Equity ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026
1 Day
11.92%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
11.92%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
11.92%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 02:32 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.5637 | 0.70 |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.0382 | 0.00 |
| νDF | 200.0000 | 0.03 |
0.038
Persistence0d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5637 | 0.70 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0382 | 0.00 |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 200.0000 | 0.03 |
Persistence:
0.038
Half-life:
0 days
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