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V-Lab

First Eagle US Equity ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

13.51%

decreased by 0.46%

1 Week

12.74%

decreased by 1.23%

1 Month

12.37%

decreased by 1.60%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of First Eagle US Equity ETF EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

-0.2561
-4.39***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

-0.2160
-4.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5071
4.40***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1082
2.97***

Persistence:

0.507

Half-life:

1 days