V-Lab
First Eagle US Equity ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
13.51%
decreased by 0.46%
1 Week
12.74%
decreased by 1.23%
1 Month
12.37%
decreased by 1.60%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.2561 | -4.39*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | -0.2160 | -4.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5071 | 4.40*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1082 | 2.97*** |
Persistence:
0.507
Half-life:
1 days
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