FT Vest US EQ MO BU ETF July EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
3.83%
decreased by 0.11%
1 Week
4.20%
increased by 0.26%
1 Month
5.39%
increased by 1.45%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 24, 2023 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.0959 | -3.40*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1859 | 6.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9334 | 72.13*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1828 | -9.36*** |
Persistence:
0.933
Half-life:
10 days
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