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V-Lab

Simplify US Equity PLUS Managed Futures Strategy ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

22.32%

increased by 2.79%

1 Week

23.44%

increased by 3.91%

1 Month

23.57%

increased by 4.04%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Simplify US Equity PLUS Managed Futures Strategy ETF EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 9, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

The leverage effect is captured by the negative gamma (gamma = -0.3410), confirming that negative shocks increase volatility more than positive shocks of equal magnitude.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3678
13.73***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

-0.0334
-1.19
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

-0.7255
-16.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.3410
-14.12***

Persistence:

-0.725

Half-life:

-