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Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026

1 Day

15.79%

increased by 2.44%

1 Week

16.14%

increased by 2.79%

1 Month

17.40%

increased by 4.05%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 09:29 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/08/2024

to

10/08/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 10, 1999 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 326% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 326% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0214
2.10**
αARCH0.1704
8.62***
βGARCH0.9771
206.22***
γleverage-0.1056
-5.24***

0.977

Persistence

30d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0214
2.10**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1704
8.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9771
206.22***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1056
-5.24***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days