Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
28.07%
decreased by 1.49%
1 Week
27.95%
decreased by 1.61%
1 Month
27.53%
decreased by 2.03%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 10, 1999 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 327% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0215 | 8.41*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1699 | 34.17*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9773 | 825.40*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1054 | -20.81*** |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
30 days
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