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iShares MSCI Singapore Capped ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 15th, 2026

1 Day

21.00%

increased by 0.82%

1 Week

21.16%

increased by 0.98%

1 Month

21.76%

increased by 1.58%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/14/2024

to

10/14/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Singapore Capped ETF EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 1996 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 184% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 184% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0150
1.39
αARCH0.1532
10.65***
βGARCH0.9869
244.33***
γleverage-0.0735
-4.91***

0.987

Persistence

52d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0150
1.39
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1532
10.65***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9869
244.33***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0735
-4.91***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

52 days