Simplify US Equity PLUS Managed Futures Strategy ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
23.13%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
24.49%
increased by 1.36%
1 Month
24.80%
increased by 1.67%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 9, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.1229 | 12.44*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2731 | 2.26** |
Persistence:
0.137
Half-life:
0 days
Other Simplify US Equity PLUS Managed Futures Strategy ETF Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs