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V-Lab

Simplify US Equity PLUS Managed Futures Strategy ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

23.76%

decreased by 0.25%

1 Week

24.92%

increased by 0.91%

1 Month

25.17%

increased by 1.16%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 02:27 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Simplify US Equity PLUS Managed Futures Strategy ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 9, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.2398
3.50***
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage0.2298
0.65

0.115

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.2398
3.50***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2298
0.65

Persistence:

0.115

Half-life:

0 days