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V-Lab
V-Lab

Simplify US Equity PLUS Managed Futures Strategy ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

27.08%

increased by 2.85%

1 Week

26.12%

increased by 1.89%

1 Month

25.90%

increased by 1.67%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 02:29 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Simplify US Equity PLUS Managed Futures Strategy ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 9, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.3290
3.47***
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage0.2414
0.58

0.121

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.3290
3.47***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2414
0.58

Persistence:

0.121

Half-life:

0 days