V-Lab
Simplify US Equity PLUS Managed Futures Strategy ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
27.08%
increased by 2.85%
1 Week
26.12%
increased by 1.89%
1 Month
25.90%
increased by 1.67%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 02:29 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 9, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.3290 | 3.47*** |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| γleverage | 0.2414 | 0.58 |
0.121
Persistence0d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.3290 | 3.47*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2414 | 0.58 |
Persistence:
0.121
Half-life:
0 days
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