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V-Lab

Simplify US Equity PLUS Managed Futures Strategy ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

25.78%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

25.79%

increased by 0.01%

1 Month

25.82%

increased by 0.04%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Simplify US Equity PLUS Managed Futures Strategy ETF AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 9, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 45 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 45 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0413
0.58
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9847
27.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0552
0.00

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

45 days