Skip to main content
V-Lab

Fundstrat Granny Shots US Small- & Mid-Cap ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

29.90%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

29.90%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

29.90%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Fundstrat Granny Shots US Small- & Mid-Cap ETF AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 18, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.4805
11.40***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3009
5.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2997
0.00

Persistence:

0.301

Half-life:

1 days