WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
7.89%
increased by 2.74%
1 Week
7.82%
increased by 2.67%
1 Month
7.64%
increased by 2.49%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2013 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0128 | 15.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1060 | 16.49*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8331 | 106.40*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0224 | 1.13 |
Persistence:
0.939
Half-life:
11 days
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