WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026
1 Day
5.55%
increased by 0.39%
1 Week
5.61%
increased by 0.45%
1 Month
5.83%
increased by 0.67%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 09:58 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2013 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 32 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 32 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 32-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0041 | 3.91*** |
| αARCH | 0.0653 | 3.88*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9134 | 50.18*** |
| γleverage | -0.0066 | -0.12 |
0.979
Persistence32d
Half-lifeσ
AGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0041 | 3.91*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0653 | 3.88*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9134 | 50.18*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0066 | -0.12 |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
32 days
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