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WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026

1 Day

5.55%

increased by 0.39%

1 Week

5.61%

increased by 0.45%

1 Month

5.83%

increased by 0.67%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 09:58 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/08/2024

to

10/08/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2013 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 32 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 32 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 32-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0041
3.91***
αARCH0.0653
3.88***
βGARCH0.9134
50.18***
γleverage-0.0066
-0.12

0.979

Persistence

32d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0041
3.91***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0653
3.88***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9134
50.18***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0066
-0.12

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

32 days