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V-Lab

WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

5.62%

decreased by 0.17%

1 Week

5.70%

decreased by 0.09%

1 Month

5.97%

increased by 0.18%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2013 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 30 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9438
7.71***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0690
4.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9082
48.53***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0009
-0.61

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days