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V-Lab

WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

4.41%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Week

4.55%

increased by 0.11%

1 Month

5.02%

increased by 0.58%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2013 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 85% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 1.38 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0073
4.65***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1379
27.91***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8621
140.71***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2194
-5.74***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.3778
18.72***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

33 days