V-Lab
WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
4.41%
1 Week
4.55%
1 Month
5.02%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2013 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 85% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 1.38 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0073 | 4.65*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1379 | 27.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8621 | 140.71*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2194 | -5.74*** |
δ power Transformation power | 1.3778 | 18.72*** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
33 days
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