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V-Lab

WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

5.52%

decreased by 0.50%

1 Week

5.54%

decreased by 0.48%

1 Month

5.70%

decreased by 0.32%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2013 to Aug 21, 2026
Stationarity Enforced

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 38% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0953
7.42***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6177
14.54***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0365
2.50**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0039
1.18
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0606
1.23
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9184
14.27***

Persistence:

0.731

Half-life:

2 days