V-Lab
WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
5.52%
decreased by 0.50%
1 Week
5.54%
decreased by 0.48%
1 Month
5.70%
decreased by 0.32%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2013 to Aug 21, 2026Stationarity Enforced
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 38% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0953 | 7.42*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6177 | 14.54*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0365 | 2.50** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0039 | 1.18 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0606 | 1.23 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9184 | 14.27*** |
Persistence:
0.731
Half-life:
2 days
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