Skip to main content
V-Lab

WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

4.39%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

4.64%

increased by 0.25%

1 Month

5.50%

increased by 1.11%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2013 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 94 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0051
4.01***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1475
9.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8451
155.64***

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

94 days