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WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

4.33%

increased by 0.04%

1 Week

4.41%

increased by 0.12%

1 Month

4.71%

increased by 0.42%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 11:35 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2013 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 48 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 48 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.15 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 48-day half-lifev = 7.15 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run0.1868
2.24**
αscore0.0521
6.43***
βpersistence0.9856
130.75***
νDF7.1538
1.06

0.986

Persistence

48d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

0.1868
2.24**
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0521
6.43***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9856
130.75***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

7.1538
1.06

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

48 days