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V-Lab

WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

5.56%

increased by 0.13%

1 Week

5.64%

increased by 0.21%

1 Month

5.92%

increased by 0.49%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2013 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 22% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.85 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0055
11.53***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0758
18.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9037
155.06***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0546
2.46**
δ

power

Transformation power

1.8482
17.06***

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

28 days