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Tradr 2X Long WDC Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

110.35%

decreased by 5.76%

1 Week

116.94%

increased by 0.83%

1 Month

137.22%

increased by 21.11%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC

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Date Range:

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graph of Tradr 2X Long WDC Daily ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 30 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 30 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 200.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 30-day half-lifev = 200.00 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst179.4681
1.31
αARCH0.1493
1.52
βGARCH0.9768
28.64***
νDF200.0000
0.01

0.977

Persistence

30d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

179.4681
1.31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1493
1.52
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9768
28.64***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

200.0000
0.01

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days