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V-Lab

Tradr 2X Long WDC Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

160.75%

increased by 4.60%

1 Week

162.67%

increased by 6.52%

1 Month

167.94%

increased by 11.79%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 02:20 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Tradr 2X Long WDC Daily ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 35.60 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 12-day half-lifev = 35.60 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst125.7128
1.99**
αARCH0.1016
1.02
βGARCH0.9437
11.44***
νDF35.5977
0.04

0.944

Persistence

12d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

125.7128
1.99**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1016
1.02
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9437
11.44***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

35.5977
0.04

Persistence:

0.944

Half-life:

12 days