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Tradr 2X Long WDC Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

254.48%

increased by 7.81%

1 Week

250.20%

increased by 3.53%

1 Month

236.92%

decreased by 9.75%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:18 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Tradr 2X Long WDC Daily ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 13.77 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 15-day half-lifev = 13.77 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run157.8938
0.76
αscore0.1170
0.86
βpersistence0.9548
12.33***
νDF13.7662
0.10

0.955

Persistence

15d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

157.8938
0.76
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1170
0.86
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9548
12.33***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

13.7662
0.10

Persistence:

0.955

Half-life:

15 days