V-Lab
Tradr 2X Long WDC Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026
1 Day
110.35%
decreased by 5.76%
1 Week
116.94%
increased by 0.83%
1 Month
137.22%
increased by 21.11%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 30 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 30 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 200.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 30-day half-lifev = 200.00 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 179.4681 | 1.31 |
| αARCH | 0.1493 | 1.52 |
| βGARCH | 0.9768 | 28.64*** |
| νDF | 200.0000 | 0.01 |
0.977
Persistence30d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 179.4681 | 1.31 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1493 | 1.52 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9768 | 28.64*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 200.0000 | 0.01 |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
30 days
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