Tradr 2X Long WDC Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026
1 Day
254.48%
increased by 7.81%
1 Week
250.20%
increased by 3.53%
1 Month
236.92%
decreased by 9.75%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:18 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 13.77 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 15-day half-lifev = 13.77 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 157.8938 | 0.76 |
| αscore | 0.1170 | 0.86 |
| βpersistence | 0.9548 | 12.33*** |
| νDF | 13.7662 | 0.10 |
0.955
Persistence15d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 157.8938 | 0.76 |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.1170 | 0.86 |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9548 | 12.33*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 13.7662 | 0.10 |
Persistence:
0.955
Half-life:
15 days
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