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V-Lab

Tradr 2X Long WDC Daily ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

133.36%

decreased by 3.93%

1 Week

139.42%

increased by 2.13%

1 Month

156.54%

increased by 19.25%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Tradr 2X Long WDC Daily ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 200.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 16-day half-lifev = 200.00 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst152.9332
1.67*
αARCH0.1318
1.16
βGARCH0.9585
16.42***
νDF200.0000
0.01

0.958

Persistence

16d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

152.9332
1.67*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1318
1.16
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9585
16.42***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

200.0000
0.01

Persistence:

0.958

Half-life:

16 days